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Lloyds Share Price Forecast After Cruising Past Key Resistance

Published by
Crispus Nyaga

The Lloyds share price rose above a key resistance level after the relatively mixed UK mortgage data and as the sterling tumbled to the lowest level in 9 months. The LLOY stock jumped to 46.35p, which was the highest level since August 16.

UK stagflation fears

Lloyds is the biggest domestic bank in the UK. Through its several brands, the company has become the biggest mortgage provider in the country. As a result, the company has done relatively well in the past few months as demand for mortgages rose. 

Data published today showed that the mortgage industry remained steady in August. Mortgage lending increased to more than 5.29 billion pounds in August after falling by more than 1.76 billion pounds in the previous month. This increase was better than the median estimate of 3.68 billion pounds. 

At the same time, the number of mortgage approvals declined from 75.13k in July to 74.45k in August. These numbers provide signals that the company is doing relatively well.

At the same time, the Lloyds share is rising at a time when there are risks of stagflation in the UK. Stagflation is defined as a period of low economic growth accompanied by stubbornly higher inflation. 

Economists expect that the country’s inflation will rise to more than 4% in the near term as the cost of energy shoots higher. In a statement today, a federation of retailers said that they will hike prices as challenges remain at elevated levels.

Lloyds share price forecast

The daily chart shows that the Lloyds share price has bounced back substantially in the past few sessions. And today, the shares managed to move above the key descending trendline shown in black. The 25-day and 50-day moving averages have also made a bullish crossover pattern. 

It is also approaching the July high at 46.97p while the two lines of the MACD have moved to the positive side. Therefore, there is a likelihood that the LLOY share price will soon jump to the important resistance level at 50p.

Crispus Nyaga

Crispus Nyaga is a self-taught financial analyst and trader with more than seven years in the industry. He has worked for some of the biggest brokers in Europe and Australia as an analyst, coach, and course creator. He has a wealth of experience in equities, currencies, commodities, and global macroeconomic issues. He has also published for prominent financial publications like SeekingAlpha, Forbes, Investing.com, and Marketwatch. Crispus graduated with a Bachelor’s of Science in 2013, an MBA in 2017, and is currently working on an MSc in Financial Engineering from WorldQuant University. When he is not trading and writing, you can find him relaxing with his son.

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Published by
Crispus Nyaga