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Royal Mail Share Price: Is A Bullish Breakout Possible?

Published by
Crispus Nyaga

The Royal Mail share price started the week on a positive note. At the time of writing, the lead postal company in the United Kingdom was trading 0.50% higher at 495.7p. Its total market capitalization currently stands at £4.96 billion.

RMG’s Fundamental Analysis

Just like its main competitors, DHL and XPO Logistics, Roya Mail Group has been struggling to recover from the pandemic. The resurgence of the coronavirus infections underpinned by the Delta variant saw the volume of letters sent decline.

However, the pandemic was still a good thing for the company, as many people turned to online shopping. The company’s shares have jumped more than 300% from their lowest point in 2020. Today’s shares are trading more than 40% higher from their lowest point in 2021, making it one of the top-performing stocks in the FTSE 100 index.

Royal Mail is in a highly competitive and low-margin business. The company recorded an operating profit margin of 5.6% last year. The group revenue grew by 12.5% in the first quarter of 2021 compared to the previous year.

Most analysts seem uncertain about the Royal Mail share price. With the ongoing slim operating margins, the company remains at risk.

RMG’s Technical Outlook

For the past month, the Royal Mail share price has been on several twists and turns. The RMG share price hit an intraday high of 499.5p before pulling back.

On the four-hour chart, the stock is trading along with the 25-day exponential moving average. It is trading below the 50 and 200-day moving average. Its Relative Strength Index (RSI) has been struggling to move upwards. However, at 46, its RSI is still weak.

Therefore, the Royal Mail share price is likely to face a major retracement before jumping back. However, a move below the support level at 480.6, will invalidate this view.

Royal Mail Share Price Chart

Crispus Nyaga

Crispus Nyaga is a self-taught financial analyst and trader with more than seven years in the industry. He has worked for some of the biggest brokers in Europe and Australia as an analyst, coach, and course creator. He has a wealth of experience in equities, currencies, commodities, and global macroeconomic issues. He has also published for prominent financial publications like SeekingAlpha, Forbes, Investing.com, and Marketwatch. Crispus graduated with a Bachelor’s of Science in 2013, an MBA in 2017, and is currently working on an MSc in Financial Engineering from WorldQuant University. When he is not trading and writing, you can find him relaxing with his son.

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Published by
Crispus Nyaga